沙田 · 2020-05-09
第 8場
2020-05-09沙田第8場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的HONG KONG WIN勝出，贏出1/2。STRONGER獲得亞軍；MULTIMILLION獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HONG KONG WIN B 0.55.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 2.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | STRONGER CP V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 2 | 8.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | MULTIMILLION B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | SEVEN HEAVENS TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 5 | 33.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | GENTLE BREEZE B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 14 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | MASSIVE POCKET XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | COUNTRY STAR M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 7 | 40.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | BALTIC SUCCESS TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 8 | 8.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | PRECIOUS EXPRESS H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 1 | 152.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | STYLING CITY B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 119.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 11 | 27.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | LOVING A BOOM B/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 12 | 13.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 10 | SPEED VISION B/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 4 | 237.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HONG KONG WIN | 28.9% | 3.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | STRONGER | 14.4% | 6.93 | 2 |
| 3 | 14 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 12.5% | 7.97 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | MULTIMILLION | 9.9% | 10.05 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | GENTLE BREEZE | 5.6% | 17.73 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | LOVING A BOOM | 5.4% | 18.42 | 13 |
| 7 | 1 | COUNTRY STAR | 4.8% | 20.87 | 8 |
| 8 | 13 | TEAM SPIRIT | 3.7% | 27.25 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 3.6% | 27.59 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | MASSIVE POCKET | 3.3% | 30.11 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | PRECIOUS EXPRESS | 2.6% | 38.21 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | SPEED VISION | 2.4% | 41.73 | 14 |
| 13 | 6 | STYLING CITY | 1.6% | 63.72 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 1.1% | 89.28 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 24.5
PLACE
2 28.5
5 12
7 16.5
QUINELLA
2,5 115
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 46.5
2,7 68
5,7 26
TIERCE
5,2,7 579
TRIO
2,5,7 130
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 718
QUARTET
5,2,7,8 8,910
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
4/2 28
4/5 79.5