沙田 · 2020-05-09
第 1場
2020-05-09沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K H Chan策騎、C H Yip訓練的HINYUEN SWIFTNESS勝出，贏出1-3/4。XPONENTIAL獲得亞軍；SUPER MISSION獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門XPONENTIAL跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS B/TT 1.09.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 1 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | XPONENTIAL B/XB C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 4 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | SUPER MISSION C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 9.2 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | FAST PACE A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 11 | 55.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | BREEZE OF SPRING CP-/V1 T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 6 | 7.5 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | SUN OF MAKFI H1/XB1 B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 10 | 51.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | SO AWESOME V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 12 | 128.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | SHINING ON B- J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 2 | 5.7 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | WIN FOR YOUTH XB- M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 282.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | ARDENODE TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 5 | 30.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE B C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 8 | 26.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | HARD PROMISE N Callan · T P Yung | N Callan | T P Yung | 7 | 6.6 | 17-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SHINING ON | 33.0% | 3.03 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | XPONENTIAL | 22.3% | 4.49 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | FAST PACE | 8.4% | 11.96 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | HARD PROMISE | 8.3% | 12.03 | 12 |
| 5 | 3 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 7.6% | 13.22 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE | 5.4% | 18.41 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER MISSION | 5.3% | 19.00 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS | 4.0% | 25.30 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | ARDENODE | 2.5% | 39.66 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | SUN OF MAKFI | 1.3% | 77.17 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | SO AWESOME | 1.3% | 78.73 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | WIN FOR YOUTH | 0.7% | 137.85 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 79.5
PLACE
1 13
5 21.5
7 31
QUINELLA
1,5 99
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 34
1,7 55
5,7 115.5
TIERCE
5,1,7 1,834
TRIO
1,5,7 280
FIRST 4
1,4,5,7 3,494
QUARTET
5,1,7,4 62,844
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 40.5