跑馬地 · 2020-06-03
第 6場
2020-06-03跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、J Moore訓練的WE THE SOUTH勝出，贏出NOSE。JAZZ STEED獲得亞軍；EVERBRAVE獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門WILD WEST WING跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB 0.56.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 4 | 6.6 | NOSE |
| 2 | 9 | JAZZ STEED C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 8 | 24.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 7 | EVERBRAVE K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 29.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | WILD WEST WING J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 10 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | FORZA ANGEL Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 9 | 4.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | DAILY DELIGHT XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 11 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | OVERSUBSCRIBED H-/XB C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 1 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | PLAY TO WIN H/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 6 | 59.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH B/TT C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 2 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | WINNER'S HEART N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 7 | 9.9 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | FIRE BALL B1/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 12 | 53.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WE THE SOUTH | 20.8% | 4.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | WILD WEST WING | 19.5% | 5.13 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 10.4% | 9.65 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | FORZA ANGEL | 10.3% | 9.67 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH | 8.8% | 11.40 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 6.2% | 16.21 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | WINNER'S HEART | 6.1% | 16.48 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | DAILY DELIGHT | 5.7% | 17.65 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | JAZZ STEED | 5.4% | 18.63 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | EVERBRAVE | 4.8% | 20.66 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | PLAY TO WIN | 1.3% | 78.94 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | FIRE BALL | 0.8% | 120.16 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 66
PLACE
2 20.5
7 65
9 70.5
QUINELLA
2,9 725.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 220
2,9 199
7,9 467.5
TIERCE
2,9,7 13,572
TRIO
2,7,9 3,041
FIRST 4
2,6,7,9 3,102
QUARTET
2,9,7,6 81,640
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 22.5
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
4/2 426.5
4/9 301.5