跑馬地 · 2020-06-03
第 9場
2020-06-03跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的HIGHLAND FORTUNE勝出，贏出1/2。FANTASY獲得亞軍；ISLAND SHINE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE 1.09.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 4 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | FANTASY B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 11 | 7.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | ISLAND SHINE B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | SMART LEADER B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.6 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | JUMBO HAPPINESS B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | GRADE ONE B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | HARDLY SWEARS H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 9.3 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | SEVENTH SEA SR H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 9 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | SHOUSON B K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 12 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | KUNG FU FIGHTER M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 59.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FANTASY | 30.7% | 3.26 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | ISLAND SHINE | 18.4% | 5.44 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 11.6% | 8.61 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | SMART LEADER | 9.6% | 10.46 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | HARDLY SWEARS | 6.6% | 15.10 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | GRADE ONE | 5.7% | 17.65 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | SHOUSON | 4.9% | 20.61 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 4.8% | 20.79 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | JUMBO HAPPINESS | 2.7% | 36.48 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | BIG FORTUNE | 2.6% | 38.88 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | KUNG FU FIGHTER | 1.3% | 76.16 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | SEVENTH SEA | 1.2% | 85.87 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 29.5
PLACE
1 27
5 19
7 15
QUINELLA
1,7 133.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 102.5
1,7 55
5,7 43.5
TIERCE
7,1,5 1,036
TRIO
1,5,7 276
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 362
QUARTET
7,1,5,3 5,693
3 PICK 1
A1 20.5
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,8/1,5,7 112,585
8TH DOUBLE
8/1 960.5
8/7 2,899
SIX UP
1,11/4,12/2,9/1,6/1,8/1,7 34,789
5 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
6/8/1 10,655
6/8/7 14,106