沙田 · 2020-07-01
第 3場
2020-07-01沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由N Callan策騎、J Size訓練的LEADING FORTUNE勝出，贏出SH。TRIPLE TRIPLE獲得亞軍；SMART WONGCHOY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.3倍大熱門LADY FIRST跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LEADING FORTUNE 後段發力 B/E 1.21.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 4 | 6.1 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | TRIPLE TRIPLE 後段發力 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 4.9 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | SMART WONGCHOY 早段領放 H/P/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 26.0 | N |
| 4 | 14 | ROYAL RACER 後段發力 V M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | LADY FIRST 後段發力 H/XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | PEARL CHAMPION B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 12 | 8.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SAM'S LOVE TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 11 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | SEAWEED FORTUNE 後段發力 CP/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | STREET SCREAM B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 2 | 7.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | STOCK LEGEND B M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 9 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | TOP MILITARY 後段發力 B T H So · T P Yung | T H So | T P Yung | 5 | 36.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY CP K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 55.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 4 | SHANGHAI GRACE H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 171.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | RIGHTEOUS WIN B H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 14 | 128.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GOLD 'N' BOLD K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 18.9% | 5.29 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | STREET SCREAM | 17.2% | 5.81 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | LADY FIRST | 13.4% | 7.46 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | PEARL CHAMPION | 9.3% | 10.80 | 6 |
| 5 | 14 | ROYAL RACER | 9.2% | 10.84 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | LEADING FORTUNE | 8.3% | 12.03 | 1 |
| 7 | 13 | STOCK LEGEND | 5.7% | 17.40 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 4.5% | 22.06 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | SAM'S LOVE | 3.6% | 27.65 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | SMART WONGCHOY | 3.5% | 28.55 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | TOP MILITARY | 2.4% | 42.34 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY | 1.6% | 63.03 | 12 |
| 13 | 10 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 1.5% | 68.69 | 14 |
| 14 | 4 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 0.9% | 115.54 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 61.5
PLACE
2 17.5
7 20
12 64.5
QUINELLA
2,7 143
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 51
2,12 190.5
7,12 252
TIERCE
7,2,12 6,630
TRIO
2,7,12 1,134
FIRST 4
2,7,12,14 4,618
QUARTET
7,2,12,14 79,466
2ND DOUBLE
13/2 46
13/7 284.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 21.5
A3 —
A2 —