Sha Tin · 2020-07-01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B/E 1.21.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 4 | 6.1 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 4.9 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | SMART WONGCHOY Led early H/P/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 26.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | ROYAL RACER Closed strongly V M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LADY FIRST Closed strongly H/XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 12 | 8.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SAM'S LOVE TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 11 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | STREET SCREAM B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 2 | 7.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | STOCK LEGEND B M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 9 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | TOP MILITARY Closed strongly B T H So · T P Yung | T H So | T P Yung | 5 | 36.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY CP K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 55.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 171.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN B H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 14 | 128.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GOLD 'N' BOLD K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LEADING FORTUNE, ridden by N Callan and trained by J Size, won by SH, with TRIPLE TRIPLE second and SMART WONGCHOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite LADY FIRST finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 18.9% | 5.29 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | STREET SCREAM | 17.2% | 5.81 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | LADY FIRST | 13.4% | 7.46 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION | 9.3% | 10.80 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | ROYAL RACER | 9.2% | 10.84 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 8.3% | 12.03 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | STOCK LEGEND | 5.7% | 17.40 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 4.5% | 22.06 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SAM'S LOVE | 3.6% | 27.65 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART WONGCHOY | 3.5% | 28.55 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | TOP MILITARY | 2.4% | 42.34 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY | 1.6% | 63.03 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 1.5% | 68.69 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 0.9% | 115.54 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 61.5
PLACE
2 17.5
7 20
12 64.5
QUINELLA
2,7 143
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 51
2,12 190.5
7,12 252
TIERCE
7,2,12 6,630
TRIO
2,7,12 1,134
FIRST 4
2,7,12,14 4,618
QUARTET
7,2,12,14 79,466
2ND DOUBLE
13/2 46
13/7 284.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 21.5
A2 —