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Sha Tin · 2020-07-01

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1200m 12 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. THOU SHALL SING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with STAR SUPERIOR second and RESOLUTE third. The 5.0 favourite COOLCELEB finished 8th.

Result

Official · 1.09.89
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 THOU SHALL SING B 1.09.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 5.1 N
2 11 STAR SUPERIOR H N Wong · C W Chang 9 39.0 N
3 10 RESOLUTE B/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard 8 10.0 1-1/4
4 4 HANDSOME REBEL B/TT1 N Callan · Y S Tsui 4 6.1 2-1/2
5 12 WAYFOONG CHARMER BO J Moreira · P O'Sullivan 5 5.7 3
6 6 ALL BEST FRIENDS B K Teetan · K L Man 3 8.3 3-3/4
7 8 WELL DRAGON TT V Borges · W Y So 7 157.0 4
8 2 COOLCELEB PC/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 12 5.0 4-1/2
9 1 NAMJONG SINGS B Z Purton · C S Shum 2 5.1 7-1/2
10 5 TELECOM MISSILE K H Chan · C H Yip 1 87.0 10-3/4
11 7 FLYING SPIRIT P1/XB1 T H So · D J Whyte 10 82.0 16-1/2
12 9 WONDER BRAHMA H M Chadwick · D J Hall 11 61.0 17-1/2
0 ELITE BOY K H Chan · K H Ting

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THOU SHALL SING2. STAR SUPERIOR+0.05L3. RESOLUTE+1.25L4. HANDSOME REBEL+2.5L5. WAYFOONG CHARMER+3L6. ALL BEST FRIENDS+3.75L7. WELL DRAGON+4L8. COOLCELEB+4.5L9. NAMJONG SINGS+7.5L10. TELECOM MISSILE+10.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick WAYFOONG CHARMER (28.9%) finished 5th — the winner THOU SHALL SING was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 WAYFOONG CHARMER 28.9% 3.46 5
2 2 COOLCELEB 13.1% 7.62 8
3 6 ALL BEST FRIENDS 12.5% 8.00 6
4 4 HANDSOME REBEL 11.0% 9.07 4
5 3 THOU SHALL SING 10.4% 9.61 1
6 1 NAMJONG SINGS 8.1% 12.42 9
7 10 RESOLUTE 7.3% 13.79 3
8 9 WONDER BRAHMA 3.3% 29.97 12
9 7 FLYING SPIRIT 1.8% 54.97 11
10 11 STAR SUPERIOR 1.8% 55.42 2
11 5 TELECOM MISSILE 1.1% 88.11 10
12 8 WELL DRAGON 0.6% 168.69 7
WAYFOONG CHARMERCOOLCELEBALL BEST FRIENDSHANDSOME REBELTHOU SHALL SING — wonNAMJONG SINGSRESOLUTEWONDER BRAHMAFLYING SPIRITSTAR SUPERIORTELECOM MISSILEWELL DRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 51

PLACE

3 18

10 32.5

11 71.5

QUINELLA

3,11 848

QUINELLA PLACE

3,10 93.5

3,11 244.5

10,11 353

TIERCE

3,11,10 8,098

TRIO

3,10,11 2,269

FIRST 4

3,4,10,11 2,364

QUARTET

3,11,10,4 46,661

3 PICK 1

A3

A2

A1 27

All pools (3 more)

5TH DOUBLE

2/3 134.5

2/11 254

TRIPLE TRIO

9,10,11/1,2,4/3,10,11 9,504,907

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

9,10,11/1,2,4/Any Combination 1,725