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Sha Tin · 2020-07-01

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course C 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.54
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly XB- 1.34.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · P F Yiu 11 33.0 3/4
2 0 EASY GO EASY WIN V/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte 1 7.5 3/4
3 0 EVER LAUGH Led early B/TT C Wong · K L Man 7 14.0 1-1/4
4 0 RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K L Man 3 7.6 1-3/4
5 0 CHEERFUL LEADER Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · P F Yiu 10 3.0 2-3/4
6 0 EVERYONE'S JOY Closed strongly CP-/XB/TT A Hamelin · F C Lor 9 28.0 3-1/2
7 0 WIND GLIDER Closed strongly B/TT T H So · P O'Sullivan 2 45.0 3-3/4
8 0 DECISIVE ACTION J Moreira · C H Yip 5 3.7 4-1/4
9 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 8 6.0 4-1/2
10 0 KIRAM V Borges · D E Ferraris 6 105.0 7
11 0 JOLLY HONOUR B/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui 4 64.0 7-1/4
— 0 BIG BROOK M L Yeung · C Fownes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-01 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PRECISE EXPRESS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with EASY GO EASY WIN second and EVER LAUGH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite CHEERFUL LEADER finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PRECISE EXPRESS—2. EASY GO EASY WIN+0.75L3. EVER LAUGH+1.25L4. RED ELYSEES+1.75L5. CHEERFUL LEADER+2.75L6. EVERYONE'S JOY+3.5L7. WIND GLIDER+3.75L8. DECISIVE ACTION+4.25L9. DELIGHTFUL LAOS+4.5L10. KIRAM+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick DECISIVE ACTION (28.2%) finished 8th — the winner PRECISE EXPRESS was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DECISIVE ACTION 28.2% 3.54 8
2 0 CHEERFUL LEADER 26.6% 3.75 5
3 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS 14.4% 6.96 9
4 0 RED ELYSEES 6.1% 16.50 4
5 0 EVERYONE'S JOY 5.5% 18.29 6
6 0 EVER LAUGH 4.9% 20.28 3
7 0 JOLLY HONOUR 4.1% 24.37 11
8 0 WIND GLIDER 3.8% 26.51 7
9 0 EASY GO EASY WIN 3.1% 32.61 2
10 0 KIRAM 2.4% 42.18 10
11 0 PRECISE EXPRESS 1.0% 101.95 1
DECISIVE ACTIONCHEERFUL LEADERDELIGHTFUL LAOSRED ELYSEESEVERYONE'S JOYEVER LAUGHJOLLY HONOURWIND GLIDEREASY GO EASY WINKIRAMPRECISE EXPRESS — won

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 330.5

PLACE

1 23

5 73.5

8 36.5

QUINELLA

1,5 999

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 263

1,8 118.5

5,8 420.5

TIERCE

5,1,8 24,210

TRIO

1,5,8 3,429

FIRST 4

1,5,8,9 3,165

QUARTET

5,1,8,9 81,141

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 55

A2 —

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

3/1 54.5

3/5 1,127.5