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Sha Tin · 2020-07-01

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.08.39
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FALCON TURBO B 1.08.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte 2 7.9 SH
2 0 EXCELLENT PROPOSAL E1 J Moreira · J Size 10 4.1 SH
3 0 LORIZ V Borges · P F Yiu 1 4.3 1-1/2
4 0 MIG ENERGY XB/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 7 2.0 4-1/2
5 0 HAPPY FORTUNE H/XB1 T H So · L Ho 9 128.0 8-1/2
6 0 TELECOM PUMA SR/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 3 17.0 9-1/2
7 0 PRIVATE COUNCIL N Callan · W Y So 5 127.0 11
8 0 WINNING ENDEAVOUR XB- H W Lai · D E Ferraris 4 49.0 11
9 0 HELAKU KNIGHT CP2 M L Yeung · J Moore 6 56.0 15-3/4
— 0 JOLLY GOOD HEART C L Chau · D J Whyte — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FALCON TURBO, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with EXCELLENT PROPOSAL second and LORIZ third. The 2.0 favourite MIG ENERGY finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FALCON TURBO—2. EXCELLENT PROPOSAL+0.1L3. LORIZ+1.5L4. MIG ENERGY+4.5L5. HAPPY FORTUNE+8.5L6. TELECOM PUMA+9.5L7. PRIVATE COUNCIL+11L8. WINNING ENDEAVOUR+11L9. HELAKU KNIGHT+15.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick MIG ENERGY (34.4%) finished 4th — the winner FALCON TURBO was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MIG ENERGY 34.4% 2.91 4
2 0 LORIZ 17.2% 5.81 3
3 0 WINNING ENDEAVOUR 13.8% 7.23 8
4 0 EXCELLENT PROPOSAL 13.4% 7.47 2
5 0 FALCON TURBO 10.0% 10.00 1
6 0 TELECOM PUMA 5.9% 16.94 6
7 0 PRIVATE COUNCIL 2.7% 36.49 7
8 0 HELAKU KNIGHT 2.1% 48.57 9
9 0 HAPPY FORTUNE 0.5% 195.28 5
MIG ENERGYLORIZWINNING ENDEAVOUREXCELLENT PROPOSALFALCON TURBO — wonTELECOM PUMAPRIVATE COUNCILHELAKU KNIGHTHAPPY FORTUNE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 79

PLACE

1 17.5

5 13

8 15.5

QUINELLA

1,5 145

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 44

1,8 29.5

5,8 32.5

TIERCE

5,1,8 1,241

TRIO

1,5,8 129

FIRST 4

1,2,5,8 36

QUARTET

5,1,8,2 1,952

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,10,11/1,5,8 120,537

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 42

A1 —

6TH DOUBLE

3/1 33

3/5 593.5