Sha Tin · 2020-07-01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-01 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. YEE CHEONG LUCKY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by 3-1/4, with EXPONENTS second and CORRE RAPIDO third. The 3.7 favourite ADONIS finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY B 1.09.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 3.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | EXPONENTS V J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 7 | 6.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | CORRE RAPIDO B A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | FAIRY FLOSS B/H Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 1 | 6.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | ADONIS H/P C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.7 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | ROCHFORD V H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 8 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | EVER STRONG P- C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 11 | 8.7 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | HEALTHY TREASURE B1/TT- T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 96.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | FORTUNE BUDDY B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 63.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | TANG TREASURE B-/SR1/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 12 | 115.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | HARBOUR ALERT CP/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 9 | 14.0 | 19-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | JOY AVENUE P-/XB- K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 5 | 61.0 | 33 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ADONIS | 20.8% | 4.80 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | EXPONENTS | 19.9% | 5.03 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | FAIRY FLOSS | 16.5% | 6.06 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY | 13.4% | 7.46 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | CORRE RAPIDO | 6.6% | 15.16 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | HARBOUR ALERT | 4.9% | 20.37 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | ROCHFORD | 4.8% | 20.67 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | EVER STRONG | 3.6% | 27.66 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | JOY AVENUE | 3.6% | 27.82 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | TANG TREASURE | 2.4% | 41.75 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | FORTUNE BUDDY | 1.8% | 55.03 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | HEALTHY TREASURE | 1.6% | 62.34 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 38
PLACE
8 33
9 14
10 23.5
QUINELLA
9,10 147
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 102.5
8,10 115
9,10 49
TIERCE
9,10,8 2,033
TRIO
8,9,10 517
FIRST 4
8,9,10,11 406
QUARTET
9,10,8,11 9,261
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 22.5
A2 —