Sha Tin · 2020-07-01
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ANGEL Closed strongly TT 1.47.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 14 | 5.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Closed strongly XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | EPTIWINS Closed strongly B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 2.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 11 | 4.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE Closed strongly B- T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 3 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 13 | 54.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly CP K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 7 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | RULE THEE B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 11.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | POLYMER LUCK B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 4 | 106.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR TT H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 10 | 145.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE Led early H/P/XB M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 92.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | BULB ELITE B- K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 1 | 52.0 | 18-1/4 |
| — | 0 | FAST PACE A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-01 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY ANGEL, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE second and SPEED FORCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite EPTIWINS finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 27.1% | 3.69 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | EPTIWINS | 16.2% | 6.18 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 13.5% | 7.39 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 10.8% | 9.28 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 5.7% | 17.53 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 5.7% | 17.61 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 4.8% | 20.80 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 4.3% | 23.31 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | RULE THEE | 4.3% | 23.40 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | BULB ELITE | 3.7% | 26.70 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 1.8% | 56.76 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | POLYMER LUCK | 1.5% | 68.83 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR | 0.7% | 143.89 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 51.5
PLACE
9 45
10 17.5
11 29.5
QUINELLA
10,11 260
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 123.5
9,11 230.5
10,11 83.5
TIERCE
10,11,9 4,123
TRIO
9,10,11 1,011
FIRST 4
7,9,10,11 686
QUARTET
10,11,9,7 15,452
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,12/9,10,11 228,107
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 27
3RD DOUBLE
7/10 357
7/11 113.5