沙田 · 2020-07-01
第 2場
2020-07-01沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、D J Hall訓練的RED BRICK FIGHTER勝出，贏出1-1/2。KELMIMI WINS獲得亞軍；YES WE CAN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.0倍大熱門TREASURE CHEST跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | RED BRICK FIGHTER 後段發力 B 1.22.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 14 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | KELMIMI WINS 早段領放 B/TT M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 9 | 41.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | YES WE CAN 後段發力 TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | TREASURE CHEST K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | JOY MASTER 後段發力 V1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | ROYAL CHOCOLATE B/XB/TT- K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 7 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | BELLA BABY 後段發力 XB/H1/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 6 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | BLAZING PARTNERS SR N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | SOLAR BILLION 後段發力 SR M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 41.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | GALAXY EMPEROR CP/H/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 5 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SHANGHAI RUSKY B C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 1 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | LITTLE GENERAL TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 11 | 7.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 28.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | FORTUNATE RUNNER CP/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 12 | 57.0 | 29-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | YES WE CAN | 20.7% | 4.82 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | SHANGHAI RUSKY | 14.5% | 6.89 | 11 |
| 3 | 13 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 11.4% | 8.74 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | TREASURE CHEST | 8.7% | 11.45 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | LITTLE GENERAL | 8.3% | 12.04 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 | JOY MASTER | 6.8% | 14.74 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | ROYAL CHOCOLATE | 6.7% | 14.99 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | BELLA BABY | 6.1% | 16.50 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 3.6% | 28.06 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 3.5% | 28.86 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL | 3.2% | 30.81 | 13 |
| 12 | 14 | SOLAR BILLION | 2.8% | 35.93 | 9 |
| 13 | 5 | KELMIMI WINS | 2.7% | 36.41 | 2 |
| 14 | 4 | FORTUNATE RUNNER | 1.0% | 104.77 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 52
PLACE
2 22
5 112
13 22.5
QUINELLA
5,13 878
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 376
2,13 69.5
5,13 304
TIERCE
13,5,2 10,404
TRIO
2,5,13 1,683
FIRST 4
2,5,11,13 2,067
QUARTET
13,5,2,11 54,647
1ST DOUBLE
9/5 301.5
9/13 341
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 25.5
A2 —
A3 —