跑馬地 · 2020-09-09
第 5場
2020-09-09跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的MELBOURNE HALL勝出，贏出N。POWER KING獲得亞軍；HERE COMES TED獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門JAZZ STEED跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB 1.09.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | POWER KING H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.1 | N |
| 3 | 6 | HERE COMES TED CP K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT1 M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 1 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE B2 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 2 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | DIAMOND RHYME CP K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 8 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | BEST FOR YOU B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 140.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | NAMJONG SINGS B C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 11 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | VICTORIOUS LEADER J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 7 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | JAZZ STEED C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 6 | 2.2 | 4 |
| 12 | 5 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 12 | 112.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | COPARTNER SPIRIT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MELBOURNE HALL | 19.6% | 5.09 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 18.1% | 5.52 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | POWER KING | 11.8% | 8.47 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | JAZZ STEED | 11.1% | 9.03 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | WOOD ON FIRE | 10.5% | 9.49 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | HERE COMES TED | 7.2% | 13.95 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE | 5.1% | 19.57 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | NAMJONG SINGS | 4.0% | 24.85 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 3.8% | 26.14 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | DIAMOND RHYME | 3.5% | 28.58 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP | 3.5% | 28.79 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | BEST FOR YOU | 1.7% | 58.13 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 107
PLACE
1 28
6 24.5
11 27
QUINELLA
1,11 407.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 114.5
1,11 132.5
6,11 100
FORECAST
11,1 840
TIERCE
11,1,6 5,636
TRIO
1,6,11 1,171
FIRST 4
1,6,7,11 1,543
QUARTET
11,1,6,7 43,008
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18.5
4TH DOUBLE
2/1 105
2/11 262