跑馬地 · 2020-09-09
第 7場
2020-09-09跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA RAD勝出，贏出1-1/4。HARDLY SWEARS獲得亞軍；VICTORY POWER獲得季軍。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT 1.09.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | HARDLY SWEARS H A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | VICTORY POWER B/XB C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 2 | 8.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 11 | 80.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 40.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SACRED IBIS XB C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 10 | 60.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | AURORA PEGASUS TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 1 | 5.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | TRIPLE TRIPLE B1 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 8 | 7.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | CUE THE MUSIC SR/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 5 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | LITTLE BIRD V A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 7 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | FLYING BONUS B1 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 9 | 17.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 21.7% | 4.60 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 21.2% | 4.72 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | AURORA PEGASUS | 11.7% | 8.57 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | VICTORY POWER | 8.8% | 11.40 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE | 6.6% | 15.21 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | HARDLY SWEARS | 6.1% | 16.36 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | FLYING BONUS | 5.6% | 17.77 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | SACRED IBIS | 5.4% | 18.52 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | CUE THE MUSIC | 4.7% | 21.40 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | LITTLE BIRD | 4.4% | 22.63 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | MASTER ALBERT | 3.8% | 26.03 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 23
PLACE
1 12
7 28
8 25.5
QUINELLA
1,7 134
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 51
1,8 42.5
7,8 119
FORECAST
1,7 170
TIERCE
1,7,8 1,104
TRIO
1,7,8 304
FIRST 4
1,7,8,9 2,311
QUARTET
1,7,8,9 23,048
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16
6TH DOUBLE
1/1 119.5
1/7 105