跑馬地 · 2020-10-07
第 7場
2020-10-07跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的MEHBOOB勝出，贏出3/4。WINNING ENDEAVOUR獲得亞軍；HARDLY SWEARS獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門HARDLY SWEARS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MEHBOOB XB 1.10.13 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 4 | 30.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | HARDLY SWEARS H A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 7 | 3.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | MIG ENERGY XB/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 12 | 4.1 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | TELECOM JAC N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 5 | 60.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | FIRST RESPONDER B C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | POISED TO STRIKE B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 68.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | LORIZ A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | PING HAI GALAXY C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 6 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | GOOD BEAUTY PC-/B2/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | NEXTMODEL H/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 10 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | COBY OPPA H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 8 | 196.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MIG ENERGY | 20.4% | 4.89 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | LORIZ | 13.9% | 7.19 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | HARDLY SWEARS | 13.6% | 7.34 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | NEXTMODEL | 11.9% | 8.41 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | FIRST RESPONDER | 11.2% | 8.95 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | MEHBOOB | 8.6% | 11.69 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | PING HAI GALAXY | 5.6% | 17.70 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR | 5.5% | 18.16 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | GOOD BEAUTY | 3.7% | 26.92 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | POISED TO STRIKE | 2.1% | 46.73 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | TELECOM JAC | 2.1% | 48.14 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | COBY OPPA | 1.3% | 74.99 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 64
PLACE
5 13.5
10 64
12 19.5
QUINELLA
10,12 785.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 157.5
5,12 44.5
10,12 202.5
FORECAST
12,10 1,301
TIERCE
12,10,5 5,266
TRIO
5,10,12 849
FIRST 4
2,5,10,12 790
QUARTET
12,10,5,2 26,073
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 25
6TH DOUBLE
11/10 297
11/12 335