跑馬地 · 2020-10-07
第 1場
2020-10-07跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、D E Ferraris訓練的GOUTEN OF GARO勝出，贏出2。APOLLOS BOW獲得亞軍；FLYING MONKEY獲得季軍。4.6倍大熱門LA BOMBA跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOUTEN OF GARO B/TT 0.57.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 6 | 6.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | APOLLOS BOW B C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 2 | 7.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | FLYING MONKEY TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 3 | 4.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | LA BOMBA B/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 1 | 4.6 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN V M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 4 | 8.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | AURORA STEED V N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 9 | 8.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | JIMSON THE DRAGON B-/V1/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 8 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | WONDER BRAHMA H M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 50.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | FAIRY FLOSS B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 27.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | CORRE RAPIDO B M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 7 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | ROMAN ODYSSEY B/XB V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 5 | 40.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LA BOMBA | 20.4% | 4.91 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | APOLLOS BOW | 14.7% | 6.81 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | FLYING MONKEY | 11.0% | 9.11 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | AURORA STEED | 8.4% | 11.86 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY | 7.5% | 13.27 | 8 |
| 6 | 11 | FAIRY FLOSS | 7.0% | 14.20 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | CORRE RAPIDO | 7.0% | 14.34 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 6.2% | 16.06 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 6.0% | 16.60 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 5.7% | 17.49 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | ROMAN ODYSSEY | 4.5% | 22.36 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | WONDER BRAHMA | 1.6% | 64.40 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 60.5
PLACE
1 27.5
4 18.5
10 16.5
QUINELLA
1,4 230
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 77.5
1,10 61
4,10 49.5
FORECAST
4,1 391
TIERCE
4,1,10 1,729
TRIO
1,4,10 310
FIRST 4
1,4,8,10 166
QUARTET
4,1,10,8 4,521
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 26
A2 —