跑馬地 · 2020-10-07
第 8場
2020-10-07跑馬地第8場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、W Y So訓練的CLASSIC UNICORN勝出，贏出1-3/4。GUNNISON獲得亞軍；MULTIMILLION獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門HIGHLAND FORTUNE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CLASSIC UNICORN TT 0.56.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 10 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | GUNNISON H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 90.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | MULTIMILLION B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 2.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | LARSON CP C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 5 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | HONG KONG WIN B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | GOLDEN DASH B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 9.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | GENTLE BREEZE B K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 11 | 109.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | ALLIED AGILITY H/TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 8 | 28.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | BEAUTY AMIGO B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 122.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | MR LUMIERES H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 3 | 48.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 41.1% | 2.43 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | MULTIMILLION | 10.0% | 10.03 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | LARSON | 9.1% | 10.96 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | ALLIED AGILITY | 8.2% | 12.15 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | HONG KONG WIN | 7.6% | 13.08 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 5.5% | 18.20 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | GENTLE BREEZE | 4.1% | 24.18 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | MR LUMIERES | 3.2% | 31.74 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | GUNNISON | 3.0% | 32.92 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 3.0% | 33.49 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | GOLDEN DASH | 2.6% | 38.10 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 2.5% | 40.67 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 72.5
PLACE
2 175
8 66
9 24
QUINELLA
2,9 3,553.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 1,634.5
2,9 815.5
8,9 262.5
FORECAST
9,2 5,634
TIERCE
9,2,8 74,138
TRIO
2,8,9 16,736
FIRST 4
2,3,8,9 8,001
QUARTET
9,2,8,3 336,850
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 22
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,10,12/2,8,9 2,158,336
7TH DOUBLE
12/2 658
12/9 465.5
SIX UP
5,6/2,4/5,6/8,11/10,12/2,9 19,455
6/2/5/11/12/9 648,722
3 [A Badel] —
TREBLE
11/12/2 6,135
11/12/9 2,749