Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2020-10-07

Race 8

Class 2 GOOD 1000m Course A 12 runners

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-07 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. CLASSIC UNICORN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W Y So, won by 1-3/4, with GUNNISON second and MULTIMILLION third. The 2.1 favourite HIGHLAND FORTUNE finished 4th.

Result

Official · 0.56.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 CLASSIC UNICORN TT 0.56.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W Y So 10 7.2 1-3/4
2 2 GUNNISON H N Wong · Y S Tsui 7 90.0 1-3/4
3 8 MULTIMILLION B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 6 32.0 1-3/4
4 3 HIGHLAND FORTUNE Z Purton · K W Lui 2 2.1 2
5 4 LARSON CP C Schofield · F C Lor 5 5.5 2-1/4
6 1 HONG KONG WIN B A Hamelin · J Size 9 14.0 3
7 7 GOLDEN DASH B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 12 9.8 3-3/4
8 6 GENTLE BREEZE B K H Chan · P F Yiu 11 109.0 4-1/2
9 10 ALLIED AGILITY H/TT A Badel · P F Yiu 1 7.4 4-1/2
10 12 SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H V Borges · C W Chang 8 28.0 5-3/4
11 5 BEAUTY AMIGO B M L Yeung · D A Hayes 4 122.0 7-1/4
12 11 MR LUMIERES H T Mo · D J Hall 3 48.0 7-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CLASSIC UNICORN2. GUNNISON+1.75L3. MULTIMILLION+1.75L4. HIGHLAND FORTUNE+2L5. LARSON+2.25L6. HONG KONG WIN+3L7. GOLDEN DASH+3.75L8. GENTLE BREEZE+4.5L9. ALLIED AGILITY+4.5L10. SAUL'S SPECIAL+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick HIGHLAND FORTUNE (41.1%) finished 4th — the winner CLASSIC UNICORN was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 HIGHLAND FORTUNE 41.1% 2.43 4
2 8 MULTIMILLION 10.0% 10.03 3
3 4 LARSON 9.1% 10.96 5
4 10 ALLIED AGILITY 8.2% 12.15 9
5 1 HONG KONG WIN 7.6% 13.08 6
6 9 CLASSIC UNICORN 5.5% 18.20 1
7 6 GENTLE BREEZE 4.1% 24.18 8
8 11 MR LUMIERES 3.2% 31.74 12
9 2 GUNNISON 3.0% 32.92 2
10 12 SAUL'S SPECIAL 3.0% 33.49 10
11 7 GOLDEN DASH 2.6% 38.10 7
12 5 BEAUTY AMIGO 2.5% 40.67 11
HIGHLAND FORTUNEMULTIMILLIONLARSONALLIED AGILITYHONG KONG WINCLASSIC UNICORN — wonGENTLE BREEZEMR LUMIERESGUNNISONSAUL'S SPECIALGOLDEN DASHBEAUTY AMIGO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 72.5

PLACE

2 175

8 66

9 24

QUINELLA

2,9 3,553.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 1,634.5

2,9 815.5

8,9 262.5

FORECAST

9,2 5,634

TIERCE

9,2,8 74,138

TRIO

2,8,9 16,736

FIRST 4

2,3,8,9 8,001

QUARTET

9,2,8,3 336,850

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 22

A1

A3

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

5,10,12/2,8,9 2,158,336

7TH DOUBLE

12/2 658

12/9 465.5

SIX UP

5,6/2,4/5,6/8,11/10,12/2,9 19,455

6/2/5/11/12/9 648,722

3 [A Badel]

TREBLE

11/12/2 6,135

11/12/9 2,749