Happy Valley · 2020-10-07
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Wire to wire H/TT 1.40.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 10 | 5.5 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | ALL YOU KNOW Closed strongly CP/H/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 6 | 9.3 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LADY FIRST Closed strongly CP/H/XB/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 7 | 8.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BULB ELITE M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ANONYMA H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 1 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | TIGER GLARE Closed strongly H/TT1 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 4 | 75.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | EVEN KEEL B/XB K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 2 | 6.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 24.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | JADE THEATRE B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 11 | 20.0 | 15-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-07 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FAITHFUL TRINITY, ridden by V Borges and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with ALL YOU KNOW second and DAILY BEAUTY third. The winner led throughout. The 4.9 favourite DAILY BEAUTY finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 15.4% | 6.49 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | LADY FIRST | 14.6% | 6.85 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 12.7% | 7.88 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 12.3% | 8.10 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL YOU KNOW | 9.2% | 10.91 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | EVEN KEEL | 8.9% | 11.23 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | ANONYMA | 8.8% | 11.39 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | JADE THEATRE | 6.3% | 15.88 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 5.8% | 17.15 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | BULB ELITE | 4.9% | 20.30 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | TIGER GLARE | 1.1% | 93.10 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 55
PLACE
1 22.5
3 17
4 20.5
QUINELLA
1,3 196
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 71.5
1,4 56.5
3,4 61
FORECAST
3,1 341
TIERCE
3,1,4 1,535
TRIO
1,3,4 191
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 231
QUARTET
3,1,4,5 5,321
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/1 72.5
4/3 450
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 30.5