Happy Valley · 2020-10-07
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NABOO STAR Closed strongly V/TT 1.40.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 3.7 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | SACRED IBIS Closed strongly XB A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 4 | 5.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | BLASTOISE Closed strongly SR C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 6 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SMILING CITY Led early SR M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 9 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | PRINCE OF FROG H/P/XB N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 1 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS Closed strongly B M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | MAGNETISM B/TT A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 3 | 44.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | MONICA B K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 8 | 89.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 7 | 5.9 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | FLYING SWORD CP/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.1 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-07 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. NABOO STAR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with SACRED IBIS second and BLASTOISE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 22.6% | 4.43 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | FLYING SWORD | 20.8% | 4.81 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 13.5% | 7.39 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 11.4% | 8.80 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | NABOO STAR | 9.6% | 10.45 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SACRED IBIS | 7.8% | 12.85 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS | 4.5% | 22.32 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | PRINCE OF FROG | 4.3% | 23.26 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | MAGNETISM | 4.3% | 23.37 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | MONICA | 1.3% | 75.56 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 37.5
PLACE
5 16
6 15.5
7 40
QUINELLA
5,6 112
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 38.5
5,7 92
6,7 84
FORECAST
6,5 201
TIERCE
6,5,7 1,955
TRIO
5,6,7 377
FIRST 4
5,6,7,9 464
QUARTET
6,5,7,9 10,456
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
3/5 72.5
3/6 246
3 PICK 1
A1 21.5
A3 —
A2 —