Happy Valley · 2020-10-07
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly TT 1.40.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 2 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | PLAY WISE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 3 | 6.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 11 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL Closed strongly H/XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 6 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | STARLIT KNIGHT Closed strongly B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 7.5 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 7 | 26.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS H/P C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 5 | 4.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN Led early N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 9 | 46.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC SR/TT H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 4 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK B-/SR-/CP1/TT- Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 6.1 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART COUSIN K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 10 | 45.0 | 18-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-07 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. REGENCY MASTER, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/4, with PLAY WISE second and ZHAN JIANG ROCKS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS | 23.0% | 4.34 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 18.4% | 5.42 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL | 9.7% | 10.34 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 8.8% | 11.33 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK | 8.6% | 11.68 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 7.6% | 13.21 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | STARLIT KNIGHT | 7.5% | 13.31 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | PLAY WISE | 6.3% | 15.87 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 5.3% | 18.72 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 3.5% | 28.21 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 1.2% | 82.96 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 35
PLACE
1 58.5
5 14
6 18
QUINELLA
5,6 101.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 138
1,6 216.5
5,6 38
FORECAST
5,6 138
TIERCE
5,6,1 2,109
TRIO
1,5,6 668
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 1,702
QUARTET
5,6,1,4 21,203
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 19.5
4TH DOUBLE
2/5 223
2/6 57.5