跑馬地 · 2020-10-07
第 4場
2020-10-07跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的ARES勝出，贏出1/2。NAMJONG SINGS獲得亞軍；HARRIER JET獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門JAZZ STEED跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ARES 1.10.76 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 4.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | HARRIER JET B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | JAZZ STEED TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 2 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP H/B1 C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 8 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPER ALLIANCES P M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 7 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | DEMONS ROCK B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | SPLIT OF A SECOND H/CP2 C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 12 | 47.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | WINNING FEELING B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 11 | 26.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 6 | 79.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | STAR PRESENT B1/TT2 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 36.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | RUN THE TABLE H M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 5 | 46.0 | 4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | JAZZ STEED | 33.1% | 3.02 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | ARES | 21.9% | 4.57 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS | 10.1% | 9.87 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 7.5% | 13.27 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP | 6.1% | 16.53 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | HARRIER JET | 5.0% | 20.16 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | DEMONS ROCK | 4.3% | 23.27 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 3.5% | 28.54 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | WINNING FEELING | 3.2% | 30.87 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 2.3% | 42.94 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | RUN THE TABLE | 1.6% | 61.53 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | STAR PRESENT | 1.3% | 74.87 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 53
PLACE
1 40.5
2 19
4 18
QUINELLA
2,4 164
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 108.5
1,4 95
2,4 61
FORECAST
2,4 318
TIERCE
2,4,1 2,004
TRIO
1,2,4 523
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 151
QUARTET
2,4,1,3 3,888
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,7/1,2,4 22,492
3 PICK 1
A1 24.5
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
6/2 165
6/4 29