跑馬地 · 2020-10-07
第 6場
2020-10-07跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的STOCK LEGEND勝出，贏出3/4。HIN YUEN BIS獲得亞軍；SIMPLY FLUKE獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門KINDA COOL跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | STOCK LEGEND V 1.10.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 6.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | HIN YUEN BIS TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 3 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | SIMPLY FLUKE P-/H/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 10 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | KINDA COOL Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 2.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | GOOD SHOT XB M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 5 | 32.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE V-/H/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 49.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 2 | 7.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | AFTER ME H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 11 | 155.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | HOT CHILI PEPPER B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 60.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | EVERBRAVE B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 1 | 59.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | ONE HAPPY STAR M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 36.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | SELL MY SOLE E C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 4 | 4.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KINDA COOL | 37.5% | 2.67 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | SELL MY SOLE | 20.4% | 4.90 | 12 |
| 3 | 11 | STOCK LEGEND | 9.1% | 11.00 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 7.8% | 12.81 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 7.5% | 13.27 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | GOOD SHOT | 5.2% | 19.26 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE | 3.8% | 26.65 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | HOT CHILI PEPPER | 2.0% | 49.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | EVERBRAVE | 1.9% | 51.31 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | AFTER ME | 1.7% | 58.69 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | HIN YUEN BIS | 1.6% | 63.74 | 2 |
| 12 | 9 | ONE HAPPY STAR | 1.5% | 67.40 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 63
PLACE
3 34.5
8 36.5
11 18.5
QUINELLA
8,11 314.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 271.5
3,11 120
8,11 91.5
FORECAST
11,8 962
TIERCE
11,8,3 6,166
TRIO
3,8,11 1,487
FIRST 4
2,3,8,11 750
QUARTET
11,8,3,2 23,543
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,6/3,8,11 178,892
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 29
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
5/8 125.5
5/11 273.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,4/1,5,6/Any Combination 2,733