沙田 · 2020-10-11
第 8場
2020-10-11沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、F C Lor訓練的HEALTHY HAPPY勝出，贏出1/2。PRIVATE ROCKET獲得亞軍；WINNING FOR ALL獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門COMPASSION SPIRIT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY V1 1.08.54 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 2 | 9.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | PRIVATE ROCKET CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | WINNING FOR ALL C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 10 | 3.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | WINSTON'S LAD B V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 11 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | CLASSIC POSH M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | PING HAI BRAVO E M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 5 | 5.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | TELECOM FIGHTERS H1 B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 12 | 175.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPER DOBBIN A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 5.9 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | ETERNAL HARVEST A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 9 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | SUNNY LAD B/H1/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 6 | 109.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | BALTIC WHISPER TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 8 | 105.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 17.2% | 5.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | PING HAI BRAVO | 16.6% | 6.03 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 13.8% | 7.25 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | CLASSIC POSH | 11.3% | 8.84 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | ETERNAL HARVEST | 8.8% | 11.42 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 7.9% | 12.65 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | SUPER DOBBIN | 6.4% | 15.64 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | WINNING FOR ALL | 5.5% | 18.08 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | WINSTON'S LAD | 5.2% | 19.14 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | SUNNY LAD | 2.9% | 34.13 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | BALTIC WHISPER | 2.8% | 35.41 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 1.6% | 63.90 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 92.5
PLACE
1 31.5
4 18.5
5 39
QUINELLA
1,4 306
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 97
1,5 203
4,5 129.5
FORECAST
1,4 814
TIERCE
1,4,5 6,224
TRIO
1,4,5 1,126
FIRST 4
1,4,5,9 1,133
QUARTET
1,4,5,9 33,789
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 32.5
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
10/1 2,178.5
10/4 210.5