沙田 · 2020-10-11
第 7場
2020-10-11沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、T P Yung訓練的KA YING MASTER勝出，贏出HD。SMART LEADER獲得亞軍；INNER FLAME獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門SUNSET WATCH跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KA YING MASTER TT 1.08.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 4 | 12.0 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | SMART LEADER B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 9 | 23.0 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | INNER FLAME XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | CZARSON CP M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B1 A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 3 | 40.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | ALL FOR SOUTH B1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 5.2 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | SUNSET WATCH Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 2.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 7 | 9.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 79.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | SMOOTHIES B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 11 | 8.6 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY WARRIOR CP-/H2 C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 61.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUNSET WATCH | 14.9% | 6.70 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | INNER FLAME | 14.0% | 7.13 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | SMART LEADER | 12.8% | 7.83 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | SMOOTHIES | 11.1% | 8.99 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | CZARSON | 10.1% | 9.93 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | ALL FOR SOUTH | 9.2% | 10.89 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 8.9% | 11.29 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | KA YING MASTER | 6.4% | 15.63 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 5.7% | 17.66 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 4.2% | 24.02 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 2.8% | 35.55 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 124.5
PLACE
1 20.5
3 45.5
10 34.5
QUINELLA
3,10 1,117
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 149
1,10 111
3,10 263.5
FORECAST
10,3 2,966
TIERCE
10,3,1 13,298
TRIO
1,3,10 1,951
FIRST 4
1,3,6,10 3,487
QUARTET
10,3,1,6 101,435
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,12/1,3,10 793,679
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 34
6TH DOUBLE
3/3 120
3/10 855.5