沙田 · 2020-10-11
第 9場
2020-10-11沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、C S Shum訓練的CRAIG'S STAR勝出，贏出2。CHANCHENG PRINCE獲得亞軍；E STAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門STAR OF YUEN LONG跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CRAIG'S STAR 後段發力 B 1.20.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 9 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | CHANCHENG PRINCE 後段發力 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 36.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | E STAR 後段發力 H N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 10 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | TEMPEST EXPRESS 後段發力 E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 11 | 2.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | BRIGHT KID 後段發力 B/XB H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 5 | 61.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | WIN WIN B V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 8 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | FLYING VICTORY H/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 12 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | VICTORY POWER B/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.9 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SIMPLE ELEGANT 早段領放 V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.9 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | ORIENTAL AMIGO H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 6 | 240.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | LEGION OF MERIT B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 13 | 203.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 16.6% | 6.04 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 12.9% | 7.76 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | WIN WIN | 12.7% | 7.87 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | VICTORY POWER | 9.4% | 10.69 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | CRAIG'S STAR | 8.4% | 11.91 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | BRIGHT KID | 7.7% | 12.94 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | FLYING VICTORY | 6.7% | 15.01 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | SIMPLE ELEGANT | 6.2% | 16.21 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 5.8% | 17.25 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 5.0% | 19.95 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | E STAR | 4.9% | 20.23 | 3 |
| 12 | 2 | LEGION OF MERIT | 3.0% | 33.38 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 0.8% | 127.77 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 53.5
PLACE
6 18
7 57.5
11 87
QUINELLA
6,11 1,244
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 219
6,11 288.5
7,11 858
FORECAST
6,11 2,143
TIERCE
6,11,7 35,168
TRIO
6,7,11 8,326
FIRST 4
5,6,7,11 12,847
QUARTET
6,11,7,5 326,707
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 24
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
1/6 1,111
1/11 1,128