跑馬地 · 2020-11-25
第 5場
2020-11-25跑馬地第5場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的GRATEFUL HEART勝出，贏出1/2。LOVING A BOOM獲得亞軍；SKY SHOW獲得季軍。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT 1.09.23 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 2.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 4 | 7.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | SKY SHOW J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 2 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | SEVEN HEAVENS V/TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 9 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 1 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | HELLO BEAUTY B/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 6 | 119.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 8 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO XB C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 7 | 4.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | TOM'S STYLE TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 11 | 124.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 10 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 3 | 135.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | LUMEN BABA SR/XB/CP1 M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 12 | 152.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 39.3% | 2.54 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | SKY SHOW | 17.0% | 5.87 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | GRATEFUL HEART | 13.2% | 7.57 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM | 11.1% | 9.01 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 4.3% | 23.36 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 4.1% | 24.40 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR | 3.6% | 27.67 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | TOM'S STYLE | 2.1% | 47.46 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 1.8% | 56.54 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | HELLO BEAUTY | 1.6% | 60.70 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | LUMEN BABA | 1.1% | 89.99 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 0.7% | 138.43 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 27
PLACE
1 22
3 12.5
8 16
QUINELLA
1,3 108
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 39
1,8 55
3,8 25.5
FORECAST
3,1 207
TIERCE
3,1,8 594
TRIO
1,3,8 107
FIRST 4
1,3,4,8 305
QUARTET
3,1,8,4 4,381
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 15
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/1 49
8/3 143