跑馬地 · 2020-11-25
第 3場
2020-11-25跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的REWARDING TOGETHER勝出，贏出SH。A SMILE LIKE YOURS獲得亞軍；MOMENTUM GALAXY獲得季軍。頭馬以2.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT 1.09.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 2.1 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 6 | 77.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 3 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | HONEST WAY CP/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 8 | 23.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | BRANDING POWER A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 11 | 85.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 10 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | LORIZ V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 9 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | HAPPY JAI JAI XB/TT H W Lai · D A Hayes | H W Lai | D A Hayes | 1 | 83.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | PRANCE DRAGON B/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 9.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | HERCULES B/XB/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 6.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SUNDAY BETTING B1 M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 5 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 50.4% | 1.98 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | HERCULES | 10.5% | 9.49 | 11 |
| 3 | 2 | PRANCE DRAGON | 6.1% | 16.37 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS | 5.0% | 20.20 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | MASTER ALBERT | 4.8% | 20.83 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | SUNDAY BETTING | 4.7% | 21.13 | 12 |
| 7 | 5 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 4.5% | 22.33 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | LORIZ | 4.2% | 23.88 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | WOOD ON FIRE | 3.2% | 31.01 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | HONEST WAY | 3.2% | 31.45 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | BRANDING POWER | 2.6% | 38.73 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 0.8% | 122.72 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 21
PLACE
5 36
7 145.5
9 11
QUINELLA
7,9 625.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 1,088.5
5,9 46.5
7,9 207
FORECAST
9,7 687
TIERCE
9,7,5 8,404
TRIO
5,7,9 2,262
FIRST 4
5,6,7,9 9,146
QUARTET
9,7,5,6 107,672
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
1/7 415
1/9 110.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16