跑馬地 · 2020-11-25
第 4場
2020-11-25跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、D E Ferraris訓練的AMBITIOUS HEART勝出，贏出1。JAZZ STEED獲得亞軍；VICTORIA GENERAL獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門JAZZ STEED跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT 1.09.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 3 | 3.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | JAZZ STEED B/TT C L Chau · C Fownes | C L Chau | C Fownes | 2 | 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | VICTORIA GENERAL H1 B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 8 | 96.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | ONE HAPPY STAR A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SKY CHAMPION H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 79.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | HERO TIME B M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 1 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | NOBLE BIRTH N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 12 | 8.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | MONKEY JEWELLERY B V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | TOP ACCOLADE TT T Piccone · C S Shum | T Piccone | C S Shum | 4 | 138.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 11.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | GREAT SON V/TT C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 32.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | VIVA CHEF B K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 12.0 | 18 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 24.3% | 4.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | JAZZ STEED | 23.8% | 4.21 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | ONE HAPPY STAR | 11.9% | 8.39 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 9.2% | 10.88 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | MONKEY JEWELLERY | 6.3% | 15.77 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | HERO TIME | 5.4% | 18.53 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | VIVA CHEF | 5.0% | 20.12 | 12 |
| 8 | 12 | GREAT SON | 4.6% | 21.71 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | NOBLE BIRTH | 3.2% | 31.45 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | SKY CHAMPION | 3.0% | 33.32 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | VICTORIA GENERAL | 2.5% | 39.41 | 3 |
| 12 | 6 | TOP ACCOLADE | 0.8% | 123.15 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 36
PLACE
3 16
7 165.5
8 14.5
QUINELLA
3,8 65
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 415
3,8 29
7,8 456.5
FORECAST
8,3 152
TIERCE
8,3,7 4,893
TRIO
3,7,8 1,143
FIRST 4
3,7,8,11 1,258
QUARTET
8,3,7,11 31,456
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,9/3,7,8 151,126
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/3 11.5
9/8 97