跑馬地 · 2020-12-02
第 6場
2020-12-02跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、C S Shum訓練的HANDSOME BO BO勝出，贏出1/2。WE THE SOUTH獲得亞軍；FLYING GENIUS獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門FLYING GENIUS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HANDSOME BO BO SR-/TT1 0.56.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 11 | 31.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | HARMONY AND RICH A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 8 | 5.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | THOU SHALL SING B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 77.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | MR LUMIERES CP- C Wong · D J Hall | C Wong | D J Hall | 3 | 79.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | PROPICE K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 4 | 5.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | WILD WEST WING V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | MOMENT OF POWER B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 32.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | MAGIC LEGEND H-/CP2 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 49.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | CHIKORITA XB H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 10 | 210.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 1 | GENTLE BREEZE B K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 1 | 16.0 | 14-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WE THE SOUTH | 23.8% | 4.20 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | FLYING GENIUS | 20.4% | 4.90 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | HARMONY AND RICH | 17.3% | 5.77 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | WILD WEST WING | 13.6% | 7.37 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | PROPICE | 6.0% | 16.61 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | THOU SHALL SING | 4.0% | 25.26 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | MR LUMIERES | 3.7% | 26.67 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | MOMENT OF POWER | 3.3% | 30.55 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | HANDSOME BO BO | 2.8% | 35.42 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | MAGIC LEGEND | 2.1% | 48.02 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | GENTLE BREEZE | 1.8% | 56.29 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | CHIKORITA | 1.2% | 83.08 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 313.5
PLACE
6 16.5
7 75
9 13
QUINELLA
6,7 608.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 177.5
6,9 26
7,9 142.5
FORECAST
7,6 2,511
TIERCE
7,6,9 6,014
TRIO
6,7,9 420
FIRST 4
4,6,7,9 596
QUARTET
7,6,9,4 25,155
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/6,7,9 18,736
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 48
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/6 13
1/7 902
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,8,9/1,3,6/Any Combination 22,540