跑馬地 · 2020-12-02
第 8場
2020-12-02跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的LE TERROIR勝出，贏出1/2。SCORES OF FUN獲得亞軍；HARRIER JET獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門SCORES OF FUN跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LE TERROIR CP/TT 1.10.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 4.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | SCORES OF FUN TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | HARRIER JET B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | MIG ENERGY XB/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 2 | 4.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 1 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | DIVINE REGULUS TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 12 | 198.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | COMPASSION SPIRIT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | WINNING FEELING B A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 9 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | TOP SCORE TT H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 8 | 166.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | GREEN REIGN B K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 11 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | TAKINGUFURTHER H/V C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 91.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | CABLE SPEED A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 3 | 187.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ARES K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SCORES OF FUN | 28.6% | 3.50 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | MIG ENERGY | 18.0% | 5.55 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 14.9% | 6.69 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | LE TERROIR | 11.7% | 8.54 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | GREEN REIGN | 7.5% | 13.42 | 10 |
| 6 | 9 | HARRIER JET | 5.3% | 19.03 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | WINNING FEELING | 4.9% | 20.36 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 3.1% | 32.12 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 2.9% | 33.92 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | TOP SCORE | 1.3% | 78.74 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | DIVINE REGULUS | 1.1% | 92.84 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | CABLE SPEED | 0.7% | 137.78 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 44
PLACE
6 14.5
7 16
9 45
QUINELLA
6,7 83.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 33.5
6,9 89.5
7,9 83.5
FORECAST
7,6 224
TIERCE
7,6,9 1,283
TRIO
6,7,9 284
FIRST 4
2,6,7,9 243
QUARTET
7,6,9,2 5,528
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 18.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,12/6,7,9 106,275
7TH DOUBLE
12/6 33
12/7 355.5
SIX UP
4,9,10/6,8/1,6/6,7/2,12/6,7 3,042
9,10/6/1/7/12/7 1,024,184
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
7/12/6 1,222
7/12/7 10,098