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Happy Valley · 2020-12-02

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.10.03
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 LE TERROIR CP/TT 1.10.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 4.4 1/2
2 0 SCORES OF FUN TT J Moreira · J Size 7 3.1 1/2
3 0 HARRIER JET B V Borges · P O'Sullivan 6 20.0 1
4 0 MIG ENERGY XB/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz 2 4.2 1-1/4
5 0 SPARKLING DRAGON TT K C Leung · A T Millard 1 6.7 2-1/4
6 0 DIVINE REGULUS TT T Piccone · W Y So 12 198.0 2-1/2
7 0 COMPASSION SPIRIT M L Yeung · K L Man 5 13.0 3
8 0 WINNING FEELING B A Badel · D E Ferraris 9 12.0 3
9 0 TOP SCORE TT H W Lai · C W Chang 8 166.0 3-1/4
10 0 GREEN REIGN B K Teetan · C Fownes 11 18.0 3-1/2
11 0 TAKINGUFURTHER H/V C Wong · K H Ting 10 91.0 7-1/4
12 0 CABLE SPEED A Hamelin · R Gibson 3 187.0 7-3/4
— 0 ARES K Teetan · F C Lor — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-02 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LE TERROIR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with SCORES OF FUN second and HARRIER JET third. The 3.1 favourite SCORES OF FUN finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LE TERROIR—2. SCORES OF FUN+0.5L3. HARRIER JET+1L4. MIG ENERGY+1.25L5. SPARKLING DRAGON+2.25L6. DIVINE REGULUS+2.5L7. COMPASSION SPIRIT+3L8. WINNING FEELING+3L9. TOP SCORE+3.25L10. GREEN REIGN+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick SCORES OF FUN (28.6%) finished 2nd — the winner LE TERROIR was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SCORES OF FUN 28.6% 3.50 2
2 0 MIG ENERGY 18.0% 5.55 4
3 0 COMPASSION SPIRIT 14.9% 6.69 7
4 0 LE TERROIR 11.7% 8.54 1
5 0 GREEN REIGN 7.5% 13.42 10
6 0 HARRIER JET 5.3% 19.03 3
7 0 WINNING FEELING 4.9% 20.36 8
8 0 TAKINGUFURTHER 3.1% 32.12 11
9 0 SPARKLING DRAGON 2.9% 33.92 5
10 0 TOP SCORE 1.3% 78.74 9
11 0 DIVINE REGULUS 1.1% 92.84 6
12 0 CABLE SPEED 0.7% 137.78 12
SCORES OF FUNMIG ENERGYCOMPASSION SPIRITLE TERROIR — wonGREEN REIGNHARRIER JETWINNING FEELINGTAKINGUFURTHERSPARKLING DRAGONTOP SCOREDIVINE REGULUSCABLE SPEED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 44

PLACE

6 14.5

7 16

9 45

QUINELLA

6,7 83.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 33.5

6,9 89.5

7,9 83.5

FORECAST

7,6 224

TIERCE

7,6,9 1,283

TRIO

6,7,9 284

FIRST 4

2,6,7,9 243

QUARTET

7,6,9,2 5,528

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 18.5

A1 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,12/6,7,9 106,275

7TH DOUBLE

12/6 33

12/7 355.5

SIX UP

4,9,10/6,8/1,6/6,7/2,12/6,7 3,042

9,10/6/1/7/12/7 1,024,184

1 [J Moreira] —

TREBLE

7/12/6 1,222

7/12/7 10,098