Happy Valley · 2020-12-02
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KINDA COOL B1 1.10.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 1 | 2.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD SHOT XB C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 6 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SIMPLY FLUKE CP/H/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 8.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 5 | 4.3 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/TT K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 8 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | ALLOY KING CP1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 186.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUNNY SMILE B/TT H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 7 | 397.0 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B1/TT1 A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 3 | 24.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FOCUS V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 9 | 85.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SPICY SO GOOD TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | TOP MILITARY B K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 2 | 15.0 | 20 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-02 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. KINDA COOL, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with GOOD SHOT second and SIMPLY FLUKE third. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KINDA COOL | 30.9% | 3.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 11.9% | 8.37 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME | 11.0% | 9.12 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD | 9.0% | 11.14 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | GOOD SHOT | 8.8% | 11.39 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | TOP MILITARY | 7.6% | 13.09 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 7.2% | 13.89 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 5.3% | 18.78 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | SPICY SO GOOD | 5.0% | 20.16 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | FOCUS | 1.9% | 51.55 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | ALLOY KING | 1.0% | 101.91 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | SUNNY SMILE | 0.4% | 240.66 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 22
PLACE
1 12.5
3 26.5
6 33
QUINELLA
1,6 150.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 43
1,6 58.5
3,6 164
FORECAST
1,6 195
TIERCE
1,6,3 1,027
TRIO
1,3,6 343
FIRST 4
1,3,6,9 411
QUARTET
1,6,3,9 5,155
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 14.5
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 196
6/6 216.5