Happy Valley · 2020-12-02
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-02 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. READY CONQUEROR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by SH, with DESTINE JEWELLERY second and PRAWN YEAH YEAH third. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | READY CONQUEROR B 0.58.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 3 | 3.2 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | DESTINE JEWELLERY B C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 1 | 5.2 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH B/TT C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 6 | 7.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | FLYING MONKEY BO/TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 10 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | JIMSON THE DRAGON CP1/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN V K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 5 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | VIVA MAMA XB1 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 11 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | LUNAR ZEPHYR TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 12 | 43.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | GLORIOUS BUDDY B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 7 | 178.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | EVERBRAVE B N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 9 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | WINNING GENGHIS H/SR/B1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 8 | 199.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 9 | EURO LAGO T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | READY CONQUEROR | 28.1% | 3.56 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 25.0% | 4.00 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH | 12.0% | 8.36 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 10.5% | 9.49 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | FLYING MONKEY | 7.9% | 12.62 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | EVERBRAVE | 5.9% | 16.93 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | VIVA MAMA | 3.6% | 27.82 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 3.3% | 30.74 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | LUNAR ZEPHYR | 1.9% | 52.74 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | GLORIOUS BUDDY | 1.0% | 95.55 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | WINNING GENGHIS | 0.8% | 125.75 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 32.5
PLACE
2 22
4 16
10 14
QUINELLA
4,10 112.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 75
2,10 38.5
4,10 41.5
FORECAST
10,4 155
TIERCE
10,4,2 775
TRIO
2,4,10 182
FIRST 4
2,4,10,11 167
QUARTET
10,4,2,11 2,864
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
11/4 138
11/9,10 429
3 PICK 1
A1 22.5
A3 —
A2 —