Happy Valley · 2020-12-02
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-02 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. WONDER WIN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by L Ho, won by SH, with SOCKET ELITE second and GO BALLISTIC third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite TREASURE CHEST finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WONDER WIN Closed strongly 1.50.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 6 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | SOCKET ELITE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 1 | 7.2 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR/TT A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 10 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | TREASURE CHEST Led early B/XB V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 4 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | EVEN KEEL Closed strongly B/XB B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 7 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | THE JOY OF GIVING Closed strongly B/H T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 9 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | YOU HAVE MY WORD Closed strongly B C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 5 | 9.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | STAR WIN Closed strongly CP2 J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 12 | 53.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | JOLLY FOREVER TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | SALTO OLIMPICO B N Callan · D J Hall | N Callan | D J Hall | 8 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | PRESIDENT STAR CP/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 11 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | ROCKET HAMMER B H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 2 | 218.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TREASURE CHEST | 23.2% | 4.30 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | JOLLY FOREVER | 16.9% | 5.91 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | SOCKET ELITE | 13.1% | 7.63 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | YOU HAVE MY WORD | 11.5% | 8.70 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | EVEN KEEL | 7.1% | 14.08 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | STAR WIN | 5.2% | 19.23 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 4.9% | 20.35 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 4.8% | 20.72 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | PRESIDENT STAR | 4.8% | 21.02 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | WONDER WIN | 3.7% | 27.15 | 1 |
| 11 | 2 | GO BALLISTIC | 3.5% | 28.61 | 3 |
| 12 | 7 | ROCKET HAMMER | 1.3% | 78.27 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 129.5
PLACE
2 31.5
10 24
11 33.5
QUINELLA
10,11 599
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 171.5
2,11 167.5
10,11 163
FORECAST
11,10 1,048
TIERCE
11,10,2 17,938
TRIO
2,10,11 2,616
FIRST 4
2,9,10,11 943
QUARTET
11,10,2,9 42,278
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/10 48.5
6/11 579.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 29
A2 —