Happy Valley · 2020-12-02
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-02 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. MURRAY'S PARTNERS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C H Yip, won by HD, with NAMJONG PLUS second and CLEMENT LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite BLASTOISE finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V 1.49.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 8 | 6.6 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | NAMJONG PLUS Closed strongly A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 2 | 8.3 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | CLEMENT LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | RED ELYSEES Led early B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | DIVINE UNICORN Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 39.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | TASHIDELEK Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 7 | 5.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 10 | 6.8 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | PEACH BLOSSOMS B1/TT H W Lai · D J Hall | H W Lai | D J Hall | 1 | 82.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | BLASTOISE SR C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 3 | 4.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | STIMULATION B/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.4 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | CHEERFUL LEADER CP/XB T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 5 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPERBELLA V-/CP1/TT1 K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 6 | 39.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 18.6% | 5.38 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | TASHIDELEK | 18.2% | 5.48 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | BLASTOISE | 17.1% | 5.86 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | NAMJONG PLUS | 9.7% | 10.35 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | STIMULATION | 7.3% | 13.76 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 7.1% | 13.99 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 6.4% | 15.62 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | RED ELYSEES | 5.6% | 17.96 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPERBELLA | 3.8% | 26.39 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 3.0% | 33.20 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | DIVINE UNICORN | 2.5% | 39.64 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | PEACH BLOSSOMS | 0.8% | 131.58 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 66
PLACE
2 26
4 66
12 23.5
QUINELLA
2,12 263.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 373.5
2,12 102.5
4,12 301.5
FORECAST
12,2 569
TIERCE
12,2,4 12,800
TRIO
2,4,12 2,555
FIRST 4
2,4,9,12 4,452
QUARTET
12,2,4,9 79,322
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A3 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
7/2 787.5
7/12 2,838.5