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Happy Valley · 2020-12-02

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1800m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.49.50
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V 1.49.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C H Yip 8 6.6 HD
2 0 NAMJONG PLUS Closed strongly A Hamelin · Y S Tsui 2 8.3 HD
3 0 CLEMENT LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 12 20.0 1/2
4 0 RED ELYSEES Led early B K C Leung · K L Man 11 12.0 2-1/4
5 0 DIVINE UNICORN Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · W Y So 4 39.0 2-1/4
6 0 TASHIDELEK Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Whyte 7 5.8 2-3/4
7 0 SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting 10 6.8 3
8 0 PEACH BLOSSOMS B1/TT H W Lai · D J Hall 1 82.0 3-1/4
9 0 BLASTOISE SR C L Chau · D E Ferraris 3 4.7 3-3/4
10 0 STIMULATION B/TT V Borges · A S Cruz 9 8.4 4
11 0 CHEERFUL LEADER CP/XB T Piccone · P F Yiu 5 10.0 6-1/4
12 0 SUPERBELLA V-/CP1/TT1 K H Chan · F C Lor 6 39.0 10

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-02 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. MURRAY'S PARTNERS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C H Yip, won by HD, with NAMJONG PLUS second and CLEMENT LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite BLASTOISE finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MURRAY'S PARTNERS—2. NAMJONG PLUS+0.2L3. CLEMENT LEGEND+0.5L4. RED ELYSEES+2.25L5. DIVINE UNICORN+2.25L6. TASHIDELEK+2.75L7. SUPER ELEGANCE+3L8. PEACH BLOSSOMS+3.25L9. BLASTOISE+3.75L10. STIMULATION+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick MURRAY'S PARTNERS (18.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS 18.6% 5.38 1
2 0 TASHIDELEK 18.2% 5.48 6
3 0 BLASTOISE 17.1% 5.86 9
4 0 NAMJONG PLUS 9.7% 10.35 2
5 0 STIMULATION 7.3% 13.76 10
6 0 CHEERFUL LEADER 7.1% 13.99 11
7 0 SUPER ELEGANCE 6.4% 15.62 7
8 0 RED ELYSEES 5.6% 17.96 4
9 0 SUPERBELLA 3.8% 26.39 12
10 0 CLEMENT LEGEND 3.0% 33.20 3
11 0 DIVINE UNICORN 2.5% 39.64 5
12 0 PEACH BLOSSOMS 0.8% 131.58 8
MURRAY'S PARTNERS — wonTASHIDELEKBLASTOISENAMJONG PLUSSTIMULATIONCHEERFUL LEADERSUPER ELEGANCERED ELYSEESSUPERBELLACLEMENT LEGENDDIVINE UNICORNPEACH BLOSSOMS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 66

PLACE

2 26

4 66

12 23.5

QUINELLA

2,12 263.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 373.5

2,12 102.5

4,12 301.5

FORECAST

12,2 569

TIERCE

12,2,4 12,800

TRIO

2,4,12 2,555

FIRST 4

2,4,9,12 4,452

QUARTET

12,2,4,9 79,322

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 24

A3 —

6TH DOUBLE

7/2 787.5

7/12 2,838.5