跑馬地 · 2021-01-06
第 1場
2021-01-06跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、R Gibson訓練的FORTUNE HERO勝出，贏出1。TIGERLAD獲得亞軍；VITAL SPRING獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門DESTINE JEWELLERY跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FORTUNE HERO B2/TT 1.10.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 6 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | TIGERLAD B/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 3 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | VITAL SPRING CP/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | REGENCY POET B C Soumillon · K L Man | C Soumillon | K L Man | 9 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | WAYFOONG CHARMER BO K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 7.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SHANGHAI POWER C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 7 | 41.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | VIVA MAMA XB K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 4 | 7.3 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | GOLDEN MISSION B2 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | DESTINE JEWELLERY B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 2.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | ALLOY STAR B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 12 | 119.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | FIRE AND GOLD V-/B2 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 2 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | FOR FUN'S SAKE H/V1 A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 32.0 | 5 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 31.6% | 3.16 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | FORTUNE HERO | 15.7% | 6.37 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 10.1% | 9.90 | 12 |
| 4 | 2 | REGENCY POET | 6.3% | 15.98 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | VITAL SPRING | 6.0% | 16.66 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | GOLDEN MISSION | 5.9% | 16.97 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | WAYFOONG CHARMER | 5.8% | 17.25 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | VIVA MAMA | 5.6% | 17.80 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | TIGERLAD | 5.2% | 19.31 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | FIRE AND GOLD | 4.5% | 22.05 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | SHANGHAI POWER | 2.0% | 51.20 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | ALLOY STAR | 1.4% | 73.28 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 103.5
PLACE
4 30
5 25.5
12 43.5
QUINELLA
4,12 564.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 137.5
4,12 175
5,12 201.5
FORECAST
4,12 1,085
TIERCE
4,12,5 7,421
TRIO
4,5,12 1,567
FIRST 4
2,4,5,12 3,297
QUARTET
4,12,5,2 69,797
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 30.5
A3 —
A1 —