跑馬地 · 2021-01-06
第 5場
2021-01-06跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、R Gibson訓練的NORDIC WARRIOR勝出，贏出1/2。SHINING ON獲得亞軍；HAPPY TIME獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門A SMILE LIKE YOURS跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | NORDIC WARRIOR B 1.10.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 3 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | SHINING ON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | HAPPY TIME TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 8 | 27.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | EVER FORCE B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 7.4 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 2.8 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | TELECOM PUMA TT C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 11 | 5.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | TAKINGUFURTHER H/V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | JOYFUL MOMENTS B H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 12 | 187.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 2 | 34.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | ALL THE WAY B/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 10 | 32.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | GOOD BUDDY M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 101.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 7 | YOUR NAME B1 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 5 | 60.0 | 27 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS | 26.9% | 3.71 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 24.2% | 4.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | SHINING ON | 11.7% | 8.52 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | TELECOM PUMA | 8.9% | 11.28 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | EVER FORCE | 8.1% | 12.35 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | GOOD BUDDY | 4.8% | 20.90 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 4.0% | 25.05 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | ALL THE WAY | 3.4% | 29.24 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | YOUR NAME | 2.6% | 37.75 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 2.1% | 47.83 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | HAPPY TIME | 2.0% | 49.84 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 1.2% | 81.14 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 43.5
PLACE
3 18
8 70
9 21.5
QUINELLA
3,9 232
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 170
3,9 65
8,9 262.5
FORECAST
3,9 353
TIERCE
3,9,8 5,781
TRIO
3,8,9 1,119
FIRST 4
3,5,8,9 1,938
QUARTET
3,9,8,5 35,978
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/3,8,9 18,981
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 17
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
5/3 143.5
5/9 67