Happy Valley · 2021-01-06
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NORDIC WARRIOR B 1.10.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 3 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SHINING ON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY TIME TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 8 | 27.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | EVER FORCE B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 7.4 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 2.8 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | TELECOM PUMA TT C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 11 | 5.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TAKINGUFURTHER H/V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | JOYFUL MOMENTS B H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 12 | 187.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 2 | 34.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ALL THE WAY B/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 10 | 32.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 101.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | YOUR NAME B1 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 5 | 60.0 | 27 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. NORDIC WARRIOR, ridden by C L Chau and trained by R Gibson, won by 1/2, with SHINING ON second and HAPPY TIME third. The 2.8 favourite A SMILE LIKE YOURS finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS | 26.9% | 3.71 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 24.2% | 4.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SHINING ON | 11.7% | 8.52 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | TELECOM PUMA | 8.9% | 11.28 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | EVER FORCE | 8.1% | 12.35 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY | 4.8% | 20.90 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 4.0% | 25.05 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | ALL THE WAY | 3.4% | 29.24 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | YOUR NAME | 2.6% | 37.75 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 2.1% | 47.83 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY TIME | 2.0% | 49.84 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 1.2% | 81.14 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 43.5
PLACE
3 18
8 70
9 21.5
QUINELLA
3,9 232
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 170
3,9 65
8,9 262.5
FORECAST
3,9 353
TIERCE
3,9,8 5,781
TRIO
3,8,9 1,119
FIRST 4
3,5,8,9 1,938
QUARTET
3,9,8,5 35,978
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/3,8,9 18,981
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17
4TH DOUBLE
5/3 143.5
5/9 67