Happy Valley · 2021-01-06
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MALDIVES, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by SH, with CHARIZARD second and V CHEVALIERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB 1.40.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 2.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly TT C Soumillon · D E Ferraris | C Soumillon | D E Ferraris | 4 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 6 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SURE WIN WIN K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 7 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PERFECT TO PLAY Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 33.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | CHAIRMAN LO B/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | STARLIT KNIGHT Led early B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 44.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY FORTUNE Closed strongly XB-/H/P/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 154.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HAPPY JAI JAI XB-/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SUNNY SMILE Closed strongly B/TT H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 12 | 321.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | REGENCY MASTER TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 9 | 3.3 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | A SHIN CHALLENGE B C Wong · W Y So | C Wong | W Y So | 8 | 276.0 | 30-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MALDIVES | 28.3% | 3.53 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | V CHEVALIERS | 20.7% | 4.84 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | REGENCY MASTER | 18.3% | 5.45 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 7.4% | 13.56 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | CHARIZARD | 6.1% | 16.31 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | CHAIRMAN LO | 5.5% | 18.26 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | STARLIT KNIGHT | 5.0% | 19.89 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 3.5% | 28.19 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | SURE WIN WIN | 3.1% | 32.66 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | HAPPY FORTUNE | 1.2% | 80.88 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | SUNNY SMILE | 0.5% | 218.07 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | A SHIN CHALLENGE | 0.4% | 253.66 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 20
PLACE
3 26.5
4 18
6 11.5
QUINELLA
3,6 99
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 91
3,6 39.5
4,6 31
FORECAST
6,3 174
TIERCE
6,3,4 637
TRIO
3,4,6 214
FIRST 4
3,4,6,12 716
QUARTET
6,3,4,12 6,765
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
7,10,12/3,4,6 3,702
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 12.5
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
10/3 61
10/6 58
TRIPLE TRIO
3,8,9/7,10,12/3,4,6 657,070
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,8,9/7,10,12/Any Combination 3,971