Happy Valley · 2021-01-06
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-06 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CELESTIAL POWER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with BEAUTY ANGEL second and CLEMENT LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite ENRICHMENT finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CELESTIAL POWER Closed strongly V 1.50.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 5.3 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY ANGEL TT C Soumillon · A S Cruz | C Soumillon | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.0 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | CLEMENT LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 3 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | HAPPY MY BROTHER B/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 6 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | ENRICHMENT Closed strongly B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | AWE Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS V K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 4 | 7.9 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | LONDON HALL B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 8.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | ARROGANT B/TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 12 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | DIVINE UNICORN TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 9 | 44.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | BLASTOISE SR A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 8 | 47.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | TOYCOON Led early H/XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 17.0 | 13-1/4 |
| — | 0 | EASY GO EASY WIN C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 17.7% | 5.63 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 16.6% | 6.01 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | CELESTIAL POWER | 11.2% | 8.95 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | ENRICHMENT | 11.0% | 9.08 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | LONDON HALL | 9.0% | 11.13 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | AWE | 8.1% | 12.27 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 6.1% | 16.30 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | HAPPY MY BROTHER | 6.0% | 16.76 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | BLASTOISE | 5.7% | 17.62 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | ARROGANT | 3.8% | 26.36 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | TOYCOON | 3.7% | 26.92 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | DIVINE UNICORN | 1.0% | 98.20 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 53
PLACE
4 19.5
8 20.5
9 32.5
QUINELLA
4,8 160
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 64
4,9 108
8,9 114
FORECAST
4,8 365
TIERCE
4,8,9 2,843
TRIO
4,8,9 656
FIRST 4
1,4,8,9 2,159
QUARTET
4,8,9,1 31,577
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 19.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,10/4,8,9 148,675
8TH DOUBLE
2/4 442.5
2/8 48.5
SIX UP
5/3/10/6/2/4 13,812
5,6/3,9/10,12/3,6/2,4/4,8 1,282
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
6/2/4 743
6/2/8 99