Happy Valley · 2021-01-06
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly XB 1.48.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Soumillon · D J Whyte | C Soumillon | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SINGAPORE SLING Closed strongly SR-/XB-/CP1 C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 3 | 9.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY Closed strongly SR/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 8.4 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ Closed strongly M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 1 | 44.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TIME WARP TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 9 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM CP J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 8 | 3.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN Led early SR V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 5 | 47.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 7 | 32.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SIMPLY BRILLIANT XB K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 35.0 | 18-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-06 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SAVVY NINE, ridden by C Soumillon and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with GLORIOUS DRAGON second and SINGAPORE SLING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite GLORIOUS DRAGON finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM | 37.4% | 2.67 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 28.9% | 3.46 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 11.3% | 8.89 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SINGAPORE SLING | 5.0% | 19.98 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 3.9% | 25.56 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN | 3.2% | 31.54 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | SIMPLY BRILLIANT | 3.0% | 33.77 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | TIME WARP | 2.7% | 36.93 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY | 2.6% | 38.09 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE | 2.1% | 48.17 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 39.5
PLACE
4 26.5
5 15.5
6 12
QUINELLA
5,6 64
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 51.5
4,6 43.5
5,6 28
FORECAST
5,6 162
TIERCE
5,6,4 792
TRIO
4,5,6 139
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 146
QUARTET
5,6,4,3 2,648
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/5 342.5
3/6 47