Happy Valley · 2021-01-06
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS Closed strongly B 1.40.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 8 | 7.9 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | EVER LAUGH B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 6 | 9.9 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | FAST PACE P-/H N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 9 | 3.5 | N |
| 4 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS Closed strongly CP/H/TT C Soumillon · A S Cruz | C Soumillon | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE Closed strongly XB C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 12 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN Closed strongly P C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN B M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 2 | 38.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY PUZZLE B- M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 1 | 38.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART Closed strongly M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 80.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | ANONYMA Led early H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 11 | 48.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 3 | 4.7 | ML |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CHARITY WINGS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with EVER LAUGH second and FAST PACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite FAST PACE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 16.8% | 5.95 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS | 16.0% | 6.26 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FAST PACE | 15.4% | 6.49 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 10.9% | 9.19 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS | 8.9% | 11.24 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 7.0% | 14.19 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 6.8% | 14.81 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 6.3% | 15.77 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU | 6.1% | 16.35 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | ANONYMA | 2.5% | 39.95 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 2.3% | 44.03 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART | 1.0% | 100.21 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 79
PLACE
1 29.5
3 28
5 13
QUINELLA
1,3 348
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 112
1,5 67.5
3,5 63.5
FORECAST
3,1 684
TIERCE
3,1,5 2,663
TRIO
1,3,5 434
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 310
QUARTET
3,1,5,7 9,270
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
3/1 28
3/3 149.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 30
A3 —