跑馬地 · 2021-01-06
第 6場
2021-01-06跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、C Fownes訓練的KURPANY勝出，贏出3-1/2。WILD WEST WING獲得亞軍；FABULOUS EIGHT獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門FABULOUS EIGHT跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KURPANY TT 0.56.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 3.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | WILD WEST WING A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 9.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 7 | 2.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | KAI XIN DRAGON K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | STRIVE FOR GLORY TT V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 4 | 175.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H C Soumillon · C W Chang | C Soumillon | C W Chang | 3 | 9.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MAN STAR B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 10 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | LITTLE BIRD V K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 47.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | NORDIC WELLSTAR C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 44.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | MR LUMIERES H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 11 | 100.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | MOMENT OF POWER B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 44.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING GENIUS | 30.9% | 3.23 | 9 |
| 2 | 10 | KURPANY | 21.3% | 4.69 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 12.6% | 7.91 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | WILD WEST WING | 10.8% | 9.29 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 5.9% | 17.04 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | NORDIC WELLSTAR | 4.6% | 21.96 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | KAI XIN DRAGON | 4.0% | 24.83 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | MAN STAR | 3.3% | 30.12 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | MR LUMIERES | 2.4% | 42.28 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.8% | 56.27 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | MOMENT OF POWER | 1.4% | 73.21 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 1.1% | 94.16 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 35.5
PLACE
7 13
10 14
12 25.5
QUINELLA
10,12 158
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 23
7,12 45.5
10,12 57
FORECAST
10,12 344
TIERCE
10,12,7 962
TRIO
7,10,12 151
FIRST 4
2,7,10,12 474
QUARTET
10,12,7,2 9,472
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15.5
5TH DOUBLE
3/10 151.5
3/12 181.5