跑馬地 · 2021-01-13
第 4場
2021-01-13跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、A T Millard訓練的GALLANT CROWN勝出，贏出1/2。BRAVE KING獲得亞軍；KING DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.8倍大熱門KING DRAGON跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN 一路領先 B/TT 1.40.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 8.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | BRAVE KING 後段發力 H/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 7 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | KING DRAGON 後段發力 V/XB J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 3 | 2.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS 後段發力 TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 8 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | METHANE 後段發力 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 9 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | MONSTER KAKA M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY WIN WIN 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 3.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | ALL YOU KNOW B/H/TT C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 1 | 7.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS 後段發力 B1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 116.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPERBELLA CP-/V2/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 68.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | BIG LUCK CHAMP B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 35.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 35.0 | 17 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KING DRAGON | 29.5% | 3.39 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | ALL YOU KNOW | 14.6% | 6.83 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 12.9% | 7.73 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 8.6% | 11.61 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | MONSTER KAKA | 7.2% | 13.93 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN | 6.5% | 15.39 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | METHANE | 6.2% | 16.23 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 5.1% | 19.64 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | BRAVE KING | 3.6% | 27.92 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | BIG LUCK CHAMP | 3.4% | 29.80 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | SUPERBELLA | 1.9% | 52.36 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS | 0.5% | 190.74 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 88
PLACE
3 44.5
7 25
10 11.5
QUINELLA
3,7 705
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 211
3,10 94.5
7,10 43
FORECAST
7,3 1,195
TIERCE
7,3,10 4,076
TRIO
3,7,10 781
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 1,475
QUARTET
7,3,10,1 45,991
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 32.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
10/3 71.5
10/7 293.5