跑馬地 · 2021-01-13
第 9場
2021-01-13跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、D A Hayes訓練的HAPPY ALUMNI勝出，贏出1-1/4。SCORES OF FUN獲得亞軍；CAPITAL STAR獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門THE RUNNER跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HAPPY ALUMNI H/XB/TT 1.09.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 2 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | SCORES OF FUN TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | CAPITAL STAR J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 109.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | THE RUNNER SR-/CP1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 3.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | BRIGHT KID B/XB C Wong · W Y So | C Wong | W Y So | 12 | 127.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | FLYING BONUS K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 5 | 9.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | GOOD BEAUTY B/TT N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | MIG ENERGY XB/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | SUNSHINE SUPREME H- C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 8 | 49.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 6 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | SHOUSON B K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 11 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SCORES OF FUN | 17.5% | 5.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | THE RUNNER | 15.3% | 6.53 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | MIG ENERGY | 12.0% | 8.36 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | FLYING BONUS | 11.2% | 8.94 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | SHOUSON | 10.7% | 9.39 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | CAPITAL STAR | 8.5% | 11.72 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 7.8% | 12.76 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | HAPPY ALUMNI | 7.8% | 12.79 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | GOOD BEAUTY | 4.0% | 25.18 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | SUNSHINE SUPREME | 2.5% | 40.78 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | BRIGHT KID | 1.5% | 65.26 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | HINCHINLOVE | 1.2% | 82.91 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 114.5
PLACE
2 16.5
5 28
10 37.5
QUINELLA
2,10 141
5,10 190
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 57.5
2,10 104
5,10 147.5
FORECAST
10,2 428
10,5 748
TIERCE
10,2,5 2,860
10,5,2 2,774
TRIO
2,5,10 485
FIRST 4
2,3,5,10 14,660
QUARTET
10,2,5,3 160,586
10,5,2,3 150,022
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 27.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,10/2,5,10 103,870
8TH DOUBLE
10/2 15
10/5 15.5
10/10 488.5
SIX UP
3,7/3,11/4,5/1,11/1,10/2,5,10 17,233
7/3/5/1/10/10 951,717
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
1/10/2 143
1/10/5 181
1/10/10 4,702