跑馬地 · 2021-01-13
第 6場
2021-01-13跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K H Ting訓練的NOBLE BIRTH勝出，贏出1-1/2。WHISKEY NEAT獲得亞軍；TELECOM ROCKET獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NOBLE BIRTH H 1.10.01 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 3 | 2.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | WHISKEY NEAT B/H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | TELECOM ROCKET CP-/B2 A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 7 | 9.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SPEEDY OPTIMIST K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 11 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | MIGHTY POWER B C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 6 | 4.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | PACKING CHAMPION H/P1 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 1 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | ZACIAN K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 5 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 9 | 18.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | SEA ELITE H A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 10 | 130.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | TOP ACCOLADE TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 8 | 212.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 2 | 80.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | SPEED TO EXCEED M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 129.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NOBLE BIRTH | 38.3% | 2.61 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | WHISKEY NEAT | 22.2% | 4.51 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | MIGHTY POWER | 11.3% | 8.89 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | SPEEDY OPTIMIST | 6.5% | 15.36 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | TELECOM ROCKET | 5.4% | 18.45 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | ZACIAN | 4.6% | 21.83 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | MASTER ALBERT | 3.6% | 27.71 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | PACKING CHAMPION | 3.4% | 29.77 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | SPEED TO EXCEED | 1.9% | 51.30 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | DAY DAY RICH | 1.3% | 78.50 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | SEA ELITE | 0.9% | 109.97 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | TOP ACCOLADE | 0.7% | 140.45 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 25
PLACE
2 24.5
4 12.5
5 14.5
QUINELLA
4,5 48
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 45.5
2,5 38
4,5 22
FORECAST
5,4 93
TIERCE
5,4,2 344
TRIO
2,4,5 98
FIRST 4
2,4,5,12 269
QUARTET
5,4,2,12 2,556
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
3/4 57.5
3/5 188