Happy Valley · 2021-01-13
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NOBLE BIRTH H 1.10.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 3 | 2.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | WHISKEY NEAT B/H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET CP-/B2 A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 7 | 9.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEEDY OPTIMIST K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 11 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MIGHTY POWER B C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 6 | 4.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PACKING CHAMPION H/P1 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 1 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | ZACIAN K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 5 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 9 | 18.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | SEA ELITE H A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 10 | 130.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 8 | 212.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 2 | 80.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SPEED TO EXCEED M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 129.0 | 13 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. NOBLE BIRTH, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K H Ting, won by 1-1/2, with WHISKEY NEAT second and TELECOM ROCKET third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NOBLE BIRTH | 38.3% | 2.61 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | WHISKEY NEAT | 22.2% | 4.51 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | MIGHTY POWER | 11.3% | 8.89 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEEDY OPTIMIST | 6.5% | 15.36 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET | 5.4% | 18.45 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | ZACIAN | 4.6% | 21.83 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | MASTER ALBERT | 3.6% | 27.71 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | PACKING CHAMPION | 3.4% | 29.77 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEED TO EXCEED | 1.9% | 51.30 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | DAY DAY RICH | 1.3% | 78.50 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SEA ELITE | 0.9% | 109.97 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE | 0.7% | 140.45 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 25
PLACE
2 24.5
4 12.5
5 14.5
QUINELLA
4,5 48
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 45.5
2,5 38
4,5 22
FORECAST
5,4 93
TIERCE
5,4,2 344
TRIO
2,4,5 98
FIRST 4
2,4,5,12 269
QUARTET
5,4,2,12 2,556
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15
5TH DOUBLE
3/4 57.5
3/5 188