Happy Valley · 2021-01-13
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BABY STORM Closed strongly PC-/H/P2/TT 1.41.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 3 | 2.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS Closed strongly H/CP1 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR Closed strongly TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 4.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 12 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BULB ELITE CP A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 8.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | MANY GAINS V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 1 | 55.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG Closed strongly TT- N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 10 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER H/XB/TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 4 | 9.1 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS Closed strongly B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 77.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | AFRICAN SKY Led early B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 186.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FOR FUN'S SAKE H/V T Piccone · C Fownes | T Piccone | C Fownes | 8 | 18.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | GLORIOUS BUDDY B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 6 | 171.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-13 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BABY STORM, ridden by J Moreira and trained by L Ho, won by 3/4, with FAIRY FLOSS second and VIRTUS STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BABY STORM | 38.4% | 2.60 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 18.9% | 5.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 9.4% | 10.59 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | BULB ELITE | 6.4% | 15.72 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 6.2% | 16.06 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS | 4.4% | 22.90 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 4.1% | 24.12 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | MANY GAINS | 3.5% | 28.39 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG | 2.8% | 35.37 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS | 2.8% | 36.34 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | GLORIOUS BUDDY | 1.7% | 60.19 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | AFRICAN SKY | 1.4% | 71.47 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 23.5
PLACE
7 16
10 13
12 31.5
QUINELLA
10,12 132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 24.5
7,12 74
10,12 54.5
FORECAST
10,12 212
TIERCE
10,12,7 818
TRIO
7,10,12 154
FIRST 4
2,7,10,12 285
QUARTET
10,12,7,2 4,248
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
12/10 168
12/12 84.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15.5
A3 —