Happy Valley · 2021-01-13
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY ALUMNI H/XB/TT 1.09.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 2 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | CAPITAL STAR J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SCORES OF FUN TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 109.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | THE RUNNER SR-/CP1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 3.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BRIGHT KID B/XB C Wong · W Y So | C Wong | W Y So | 12 | 127.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FLYING BONUS K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 5 | 9.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY B/TT N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MIG ENERGY XB/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SUNSHINE SUPREME H- C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 8 | 49.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 6 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | SHOUSON B K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 11 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-13 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY ALUMNI, ridden by V Borges and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with CAPITAL STAR second and SCORES OF FUN third. The 3.3 favourite THE RUNNER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SCORES OF FUN | 17.5% | 5.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | THE RUNNER | 15.3% | 6.53 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | MIG ENERGY | 12.0% | 8.36 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | FLYING BONUS | 11.2% | 8.94 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SHOUSON | 10.7% | 9.39 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | CAPITAL STAR | 8.5% | 11.72 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 7.8% | 12.76 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY ALUMNI | 7.8% | 12.79 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY | 4.0% | 25.18 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SUNSHINE SUPREME | 2.5% | 40.78 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | BRIGHT KID | 1.5% | 65.26 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE | 1.2% | 82.91 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 114.5
PLACE
2 16.5
5 28
10 37.5
QUINELLA
2,10 141
5,10 190
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 57.5
2,10 104
5,10 147.5
FORECAST
10,2 428
10,5 748
TIERCE
10,2,5 2,860
10,5,2 2,774
TRIO
2,5,10 485
FIRST 4
2,3,5,10 14,660
QUARTET
10,2,5,3 160,586
10,5,2,3 150,022
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 27.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,10/2,5,10 103,870
8TH DOUBLE
10/2 15
10/5 15.5
10/10 488.5
SIX UP
3,7/3,11/4,5/1,11/1,10/2,5,10 17,233
7/3/5/1/10/10 951,717
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
1/10/2 143
1/10/5 181
1/10/10 4,702